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Reputational Risk

Reputational risk is the potential harm to reputation.

Part Of

Reduced By Practices

  • Issue Management: Tracking and fixing bugs improves software reputation.
  • Marketing: Good communication and product marketing can help solidify good reputation.

Attendant To Practices

  • Release: Poor release management can destroy reputation and good-will.

Although protocols can sometimes handle security features of communication (such as Authentication and preventing man-in-the-middle attacks), we cannot guarantee that when a message is sent to us we can trust its source.

trust goes further than this, it is the flip-side of Agency Risk, which we will look at later: can you be sure that the other party in the communication is acting in your best interests?

Worked Example

No software system can be perfect, and after it meets the real world, we will likely want to improve it over time. But delivering a scrappy, early version of a piece of software is a Reputational Risk threat: because reputation is very hard to rebuild, we need to be careful about releasing software that might not live up to expectations.

So there is a tension between "you only get one chance to make a first impression" and "gilding the lily" (perfectionism). In the past I've seen this stated as pressure to ship vs pressure to improve.

Balance of Risks from Delivering Software

A Risk-First re-framing of this (as shown in the diagram above) might be the balance between:

The "should we ship?" decision is therefore a complex one. In Meeting Reality, we discussed that it's better to do this "sooner, more frequently, in smaller chunks and with feedback". We can manage Reputational Risk on our own terms by doing so:

Meet Reality...Techniques
SoonerBeta Testing, Soft Launches, Business Continuity Testing
More FrequentlyContinuous Delivery, Sprints
In Smaller ChunksModular Releases, Microservices, Feature Toggles, Trial Populations
With FeedbackUser Communities, Support Groups, Monitoring, Logging, Analytics

Example Threats

1. Negative Publicity, Misinformation, Lies and Gossip

Threat: Your reputation is not entirely under your own control: external sources could present risks to reputation.

Threat: When your organisation, or employees within it, break laws or social norms this possibly will have a wider reputational impact.

3. Product Failures / Data Breaches

Threat: Operational Problems of all kinds can tarnish your reputation with both potential and existing customers.

4. Other Environmental Factors

Threat: All of the Environmental Risks could potentially form reputational threats too: e.g political associations, Environmental, Social and Goveranance (ESG) mis-steps or associations with the wrong parties.

Anecdote Corner

Software systems can easily lead to reputational damage, as in the British Post Office scandal, also called the Horizon IT scandal (the name of the IT system involved). Between 2009 and 2015, hundreds of British subpostmasters (people running branches of the Post Office) were convicted of theft, fraud and false accounting based on records from an IT system called Horizon, built by Fujitsu.

In 2017, the subpostmasters, lead by Allen Bates, brought a claim against the Post Office in the British High Court which started a process of quashing the convictions. In 2022, a full public inquiry was set up by the government and postmasters began suing for damages, expected to reach £1bn.

In January 2024, a British TV channel broadcast an award-winning drama called Mr Bates vs The Post Office which led to a withdrawal of a CBE for Paula Vennels, the ex-CEO of the Post Office and new laws to exonerate and compensate subpostmasters was drawn up by the UK parliament.

Although this might have started as a simple programming error, it's hard to treat this as the only source of Reputational, Operational and Legal Risk. Clearly there is something more going on: an over-reliance on technology, institutional failure and short-term efforts to minimise reputational damage and financial losses are also likely to be big contributing factors in this tragedy.